Embarrassing Predictions Haunt the Global-Warming Industry http://t.co/DDxxUcneqi #codoubt
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 27, 2015
Archive for the Uncategorized Category
95% of Climate Models Agree: The Observations Must be Wrong http://t.co/UtBeOrw6bm #codoubt #agw
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 27, 2015
Computer Models vs. Climate Reality http://t.co/RTG3OqfUIM #agw
| June 27th, 2015Computer Models vs. Climate Reality http://t.co/RTG3OqfUIM #codoubt #agw
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 27, 2015
Global warming 'hiatus' puts climate change scientists on the spot http://t.co/YSwbFXj8by #codoubt #agw
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 27, 2015
Ideas: Have Past IPCC Temperature Projections/Predictions Been Accurate?
| June 27th, 2015One way of judging how good a job the IPCC has done of modelling global climate is to compare its predictions with a much simpler model, a linear fit of past data. Looking at a webbed graph of the data and fitting by eye, the slope of the line from 1910, when current warming seems to have started, to 1990, when the first IPCC report came out, is about .12 °C/decade. That gives a better prediction of what happened after 1990 than any of the IPCC reports.
Source: Ideas: Have Past IPCC Temperature Projections/Predictions Been Accurate?
In this post we will evaluate this contrarian claim by comparing the global surface temperature projections from each of the first four IPCC reports to the subsequent observed temperature changes. We will see what the peer-reviewed scientific literature has to say on the subject, and show that not only have the IPCC surface temperature projections been remarkably accurate, but they have also performed much better than predictions made by climate contrarians (Figure 1).
Source: Contrary to Contrarian Claims, IPCC Temperature Projections Have Been Exceptionally Accurate
Lessons from Past Climate Predictions: IPCC TAR #agw
| June 27th, 2015The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report (TAR) was published in 2001, following the First Assessment Report (FAR) in 1990, and the Second Assessment Report (SAR) in 1995. Chapter 9 of the TAR discusses the report’s projections of future climate change.
It seems that this is exactly the problem that has started bedeviling climate change models. A recent issue of Nature had a very interesting article on what seems to be a wholly paradoxical feature of models used in climate science; as the models are becoming increasingly realistic, they are also becoming less accurate and predictive because of growing uncertainties. I can only imagine this to be an excruciatingly painful fact for climate modelers who seem to be facing the equivalent of the Heisenberg uncertainty principle for their field. It’s an especially worrisome time to deal with such issues since the modelers need to include their predictions in the next IPCC report on climate change which is due to be published this year.
#agw
Antonin Scalia Is the Supreme Court’s Greatest Writer | The New Republic
| June 26th, 2015
It is possible that Scalia’s hard-right politics are linked to his literary gifts. The commanding literary critic Lionel Trilling noted in his 1965 book Beyond Culture that many of the “monumental figures of our time” have treated “liberal ideology” as “at best a matter of indifference.” Trilling cited writers like Marcel Proust, D.H. Lawrence, and W.B. Yeats. He could have added T.S. Eliot, Wallace Stevens, Ford Madox Ford, and Evelyn Waugh.
Source: Antonin Scalia Is the Supreme Court’s Greatest Writer | The New Republic
In King v. Burwell, Chief Justice Roberts rewrites the PPACA in order to save it (again) http://t.co/ItYQzV9xUI #codoubt
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 26, 2015
“SCOTUScare”: Supreme Court Guts Obamacare to Uphold Subsidies http://t.co/eQXr73Fv0S #codoubt #hc
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 25, 2015
Reverse signs of aging safely with 5-day fast each month http://t.co/5jeBcVjafN #codoubt #med
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 25, 2015
Doctor networks shrinking under ObamaCare, study finds http://t.co/w58gszFMsW #codoubt #hc
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 25, 2015
ObamaCare Unleashes Anti-Consumer Merger Mania In Health Care http://t.co/c0MPAzp0yn #codoubt #hc
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 25, 2015
How to Connect Google Drive to WordPress Media Library http://t.co/wEsVA6tPSQ #codoubt
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 25, 2015
Screaming Females Cover Shake It Off on http://t.co/Hs3kwpG2Q4 http://t.co/NGiAnUJPX3 #codoubt
— Culture of Doubt (@CoDoubt) June 25, 2015